Forecasts archived: 5
Settled (expiry passed): 5
15:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 28.3 mm (moist soil).
- Forecast: rise to MEDIUM, band p50_to_p75, confidence medium
- Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: medium, crossed: 15:30 UTC)
14:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 26.4 mm (moist soil).
- Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence high
- Outcome: MISSED_HIGHER (actual max: medium, crossed: 15:30 UTC)
13:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 23.3 mm (moist soil).
- Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence high
- Outcome: MISSED_HIGHER (actual max: medium, crossed: 15:30 UTC)
12:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 21.1 mm (moist soil).
- Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence high
- Outcome: MISSED_HIGHER (actual max: medium, crossed: 15:30 UTC)
11:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 15.4 mm (moist soil).
- Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence high
- Outcome: MISSED_HIGHER (actual max: medium, crossed: 15:30 UTC)