Empirical Forecasts — Cossatot River — 2026-06-22

Forecasts archived: 7
Settled (expiry passed): 7

Cossatot River

17:18 UTC — current tier: low. QPE 6h: 8.8 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to MEDIUM, band p25_to_p50, confidence medium - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: medium, crossed: 17:30 UTC)

16:18 UTC — current tier: low. QPE 6h: 20.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to MEDIUM, band p25_to_p50, confidence medium - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: medium, crossed: 17:30 UTC)

15:18 UTC — current tier: low. QPE 6h: 20.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to MEDIUM, band p25_to_p50, confidence medium - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: medium, crossed: 17:30 UTC)

14:18 UTC — current tier: low. QPE 6h: 20.1 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to MEDIUM, band p25_to_p50, confidence medium - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: medium, crossed: 17:30 UTC)

13:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 20.1 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence high - Outcome: MISSED_HIGHER (actual max: medium, crossed: 13:45 UTC)

12:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 16.5 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence high - Outcome: MISSED_HIGHER (actual max: medium, crossed: 13:45 UTC)

11:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 11.5 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence high - Outcome: MISSED_HIGHER (actual max: medium, crossed: 13:45 UTC)