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Cossatot River — Predictions: 2026-06-06

Predictions issued: 9
Settled (peak window passed): 9

Issued 2026-06-07 05:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 3.52 ft 6.04 ft +2.52 ft
Peak time 2026-06-07 06:50 2026-06-07 01:30

Moisture: WET (2.85" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (24 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
2 1.06" 2.20 ft 04:53 HEAVY
3 1.54" 1.56 ft 07:17 HEAVY
4 1.53" 1.05 ft 09:54 INTENSE
5 0.78" 0.40 ft 11:29 HEAVY

Threshold crossings

Issued 2026-06-07 04:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 4.68 ft 6.04 ft +1.36 ft
Peak time 2026-06-07 04:50 2026-06-07 01:30

Moisture: WET (2.85" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (23 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
2 1.06" 2.61 ft 04:50 HEAVY
3 1.54" 1.96 ft 07:16 HEAVY
4 1.53" 1.32 ft 09:54 INTENSE
5 0.78" 0.40 ft 11:29 HEAVY

Threshold crossings

Issued 2026-06-07 03:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 4.60 ft 6.04 ft +1.44 ft
Peak time 2026-06-07 04:50 2026-06-07 01:30

Moisture: WET (2.79" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (23 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
1 0.60" 2.49 ft 02:53 MODERATE
2 1.04" 2.56 ft 04:48 HEAVY
3 1.50" 1.91 ft 07:12 HEAVY
4 1.40" 1.20 ft 09:47 INTENSE
5 0.66" 0.33 ft 11:14 HEAVY

Threshold crossings

Issued 2026-06-07 02:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 3.84 ft 2.79 ft -1.05 ft
Peak time 2026-06-07 03:50 2026-06-06 23:45

Moisture: WET (2.15" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (23 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
2 0.70" 1.72 ft 04:06 HEAVY
3 0.85" 1.08 ft 06:27 HEAVY
4 0.31" 0.19 ft 08:23 MODERATE
5 0.16" 0.05 ft 09:50 LIGHT

Threshold crossings

Issued 2026-06-07 01:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 2.92 ft 2.72 ft -0.20 ft
Peak time 2026-06-07 01:50 2026-06-06 22:45

Moisture: WET (1.74" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (23 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
2 0.27" 0.39 ft 02:12 LIGHT
3 0.24" 0.18 ft 04:29 LIGHT
4 0.06" 0.03 ft 05:12 LIGHT

Issued 2026-06-07 00:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 2.89 ft 2.68 ft -0.21 ft
Peak time 2026-06-07 00:50 2026-06-06 19:30

Moisture: WET (1.69" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (23 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
2 0.19" 0.28 ft 00:57 LIGHT
3 0.14" 0.11 ft 03:03 LIGHT
4 0.06" 0.03 ft 05:03 LIGHT

Issued 2026-06-06 23:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 2.87 ft 2.68 ft -0.19 ft
Peak time 2026-06-06 23:50 2026-06-06 18:30

Moisture: WET (1.67" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (23 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
2 0.20" 0.29 ft 00:12 LIGHT
3 0.15" 0.11 ft 01:22 LIGHT
4 0.07" 0.03 ft 01:02 LIGHT
5 0.06" 0.02 ft 01:14 LIGHT

Issued 2026-06-06 11:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 2.88 ft 2.70 ft -0.18 ft
Peak time 2026-06-06 11:50 2026-06-06 06:30

Moisture: WET (1.53" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (23 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
2 0.20" 0.28 ft 11:27 LIGHT
3 0.15" 0.11 ft 13:27 LIGHT
4 0.09" 0.04 ft 15:48 LIGHT
5 0.07" 0.02 ft 17:46 LIGHT

Issued 2026-06-06 10:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 2.89 ft 2.71 ft -0.18 ft
Peak time 2026-06-06 10:50 2026-06-06 05:30

Moisture: WET (1.52" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (23 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
2 0.17" 0.25 ft 11:03 LIGHT
3 0.12" 0.09 ft 12:49 LIGHT
4 0.09" 0.04 ft 15:45 LIGHT
5 0.07" 0.02 ft 17:37 LIGHT
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