Cossatot River — Predictions: 2026-06-22
Predictions issued: 10
Settled (peak window passed): 10
Issued 2026-06-22 20:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.80 ft |
3.71 ft |
-0.09 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-22 20:50 |
2026-06-22 15:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.93" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (27 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
0.82" |
0.49 ft |
18:53 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
0.75" |
0.31 ft |
20:23 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-06-22 19:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.83 ft |
3.71 ft |
-0.12 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-22 19:50 |
2026-06-22 15:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.93" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (27 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
0.82" |
0.49 ft |
18:53 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
0.75" |
0.32 ft |
20:23 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-06-22 18:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.74 ft |
3.71 ft |
-0.03 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-22 18:50 |
2026-06-22 15:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.93" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (27 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
0.84" |
0.49 ft |
18:48 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
0.81" |
0.34 ft |
20:00 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-06-22 17:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.62 ft |
3.68 ft |
+0.06 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-22 17:50 |
2026-06-22 14:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.93" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (27 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.76" |
0.77 ft |
16:48 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
0.84" |
0.49 ft |
18:48 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
0.81" |
0.34 ft |
20:00 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- low_floatable_up: 2026-06-22 17:50
Issued 2026-06-22 16:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.66 ft |
3.60 ft |
-0.06 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-22 16:50 |
2026-06-22 13:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.93" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (27 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.76" |
0.77 ft |
16:48 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
0.84" |
0.49 ft |
18:48 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
0.81" |
0.34 ft |
20:00 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- low_floatable_up: 2026-06-22 16:50
Issued 2026-06-22 15:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.56 ft |
3.60 ft |
+0.04 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-22 16:50 |
2026-06-22 13:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.93" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (27 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
0.81" |
1.68 ft |
14:44 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
0.76" |
0.77 ft |
16:48 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
0.84" |
0.49 ft |
18:48 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
0.81" |
0.34 ft |
20:00 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- low_floatable_up: 2026-06-22 15:50
Issued 2026-06-22 14:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
4.28 ft |
3.32 ft |
-0.96 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-22 14:50 |
2026-06-22 11:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.93" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (27 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
0.81" |
1.68 ft |
14:44 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
0.77" |
0.78 ft |
16:46 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
0.84" |
0.50 ft |
18:44 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
0.84" |
0.35 ft |
19:47 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- low_floatable_up: 2026-06-22 14:50
Issued 2026-06-22 13:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
4.05 ft |
3.32 ft |
-0.73 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-22 14:50 |
2026-06-22 11:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.93" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (27 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
0.81" |
1.68 ft |
14:44 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
0.77" |
0.78 ft |
16:44 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
0.85" |
0.50 ft |
18:39 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
0.84" |
0.35 ft |
19:46 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-06-22 13:50
- low_floatable_up: 2026-06-22 14:50
Issued 2026-06-22 12:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
5.41 ft |
3.12 ft |
-2.29 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-22 12:50 |
2026-06-22 09:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.78" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: medium — Predicted rise exceeds observed range
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.69" |
3.43 ft |
12:30 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
0.66" |
1.38 ft |
14:26 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
0.62" |
0.63 ft |
16:23 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
0.68" |
0.40 ft |
18:17 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
0.67" |
0.28 ft |
19:17 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-06-22 12:50
- low_floatable_up: 2026-06-22 12:50
Issued 2026-06-22 11:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
4.35 ft |
3.03 ft |
-1.32 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-22 11:50 |
2026-06-22 08:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.59" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (27 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.47" |
2.37 ft |
12:12 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
0.51" |
1.05 ft |
14:11 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
0.45" |
0.46 ft |
16:05 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
0.45" |
0.26 ft |
17:48 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
0.45" |
0.19 ft |
18:35 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-06-22 11:50
- low_floatable_up: 2026-06-22 11:50