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Cossatot River — Predictions: 2026-08-07

Predictions issued: 8
Settled (peak window passed): 8

Issued 2026-08-08 05:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 2.52 ft 2.05 ft -0.47 ft
Peak time 2026-08-08 05:50 2026-08-08 02:45

Moisture: NORMAL (1.34" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (38 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
3 1.21" 0.77 ft 05:00 HEAVY
4 1.38" 0.57 ft 06:26 HEAVY
5 1.75" 0.75 ft 07:41 INTENSE

Issued 2026-08-08 04:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 2.56 ft 2.01 ft -0.55 ft
Peak time 2026-08-08 04:50 2026-08-07 23:30

Moisture: NORMAL (1.34" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (37 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
2 1.14" 1.56 ft 03:29 HEAVY
3 1.21" 0.85 ft 05:00 HEAVY
4 1.38" 0.60 ft 06:26 HEAVY
5 1.75" 0.75 ft 07:41 INTENSE

Issued 2026-08-08 03:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 3.12 ft 2.03 ft -1.09 ft
Peak time 2026-08-08 03:50 2026-08-07 22:30

Moisture: NORMAL (1.33" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (37 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
2 1.13" 1.56 ft 03:27 HEAVY
3 1.20" 0.85 ft 04:59 HEAVY
4 1.38" 0.60 ft 06:24 HEAVY
5 1.74" 0.75 ft 07:40 INTENSE

Threshold crossings

Issued 2026-08-08 02:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 2.85 ft 2.03 ft -0.82 ft
Peak time 2026-08-08 03:50 2026-08-07 21:45

Moisture: NORMAL (1.26" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (37 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
2 1.06" 1.46 ft 03:17 HEAVY
3 1.14" 0.81 ft 04:48 HEAVY
4 1.28" 0.56 ft 06:08 HEAVY
5 1.67" 0.72 ft 07:30 INTENSE

Issued 2026-08-08 01:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 2.90 ft 2.03 ft -0.87 ft
Peak time 2026-08-08 02:50 2026-08-07 21:45

Moisture: NORMAL (1.16" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (37 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
1 0.69" 2.53 ft 01:11 MODERATE
2 0.96" 1.32 ft 03:05 HEAVY
3 1.05" 0.74 ft 04:36 HEAVY
4 1.19" 0.52 ft 05:53 HEAVY
5 1.56" 0.67 ft 07:16 INTENSE

Issued 2026-08-08 00:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 3.86 ft 2.03 ft -1.83 ft
Peak time 2026-08-08 00:50 2026-08-07 21:45

Moisture: NORMAL (1.05" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (37 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
1 0.53" 1.95 ft 00:53 MODERATE
2 0.83" 1.14 ft 02:54 HEAVY
3 0.95" 0.67 ft 04:26 HEAVY
4 1.11" 0.48 ft 05:44 HEAVY
5 1.47" 0.64 ft 07:07 INTENSE

Threshold crossings

Issued 2026-08-07 23:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 2.22 ft 2.00 ft -0.22 ft
Peak time 2026-08-07 23:50 2026-08-07 20:30

Moisture: NORMAL (0.69" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (37 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
1 0.14" 0.36 ft 00:03 LIGHT
2 0.22" 0.26 ft 02:05 MODERATE
3 0.58" 0.41 ft 03:57 HEAVY
4 0.94" 0.41 ft 05:27 HEAVY
5 1.30" 0.56 ft 06:55 INTENSE

Issued 2026-08-07 22:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 1.98 ft 2.05 ft +0.07 ft
Peak time 2026-08-08 05:50 2026-08-08 02:45

Moisture: DRY (0.39" 7-day, x0.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (37 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
3 0.14" 0.03 ft 03:11 LIGHT
4 0.68" 0.15 ft 05:10 HEAVY
5 0.97" 0.21 ft 06:39 INTENSE
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