Rise predictions issued: 0
No-rise claims (quiet / too light) issued: 24
Settled (18-h window passed): 9
Every hourly run that predicted no rise (quiet, rain too light, or a crest inside the noise floor). Settled: 9; verified 9; the gauge rose anyway on 0.
| Issued | Level | Engine | Why | Peak in 18 h | Rose? | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:20 | 1.85 ft | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | — | — | — |
| 03:20 | 1.84 ft | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | — | — | — |
| 02:20 | 1.83 ft | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | — | — | — |
| 01:20 | 1.83 ft | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | — | — | — |
| 00:20 | 1.82 ft | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | — | — | — |
| 23:20 | 1.82 ft | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | — | — | — |
| 22:20 | 1.81 ft | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | — | — | — |
| 21:20 | 1.81 ft | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | — | — | — |
| 20:20 | 1.81 ft | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | — | — | — |
| 19:20 | 1.81 ft | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | — | — | — |
| 18:20 | 1.81 ft | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | — | — | — |
| 17:20 | 1.81 ft | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | — | — | — |
| 16:20 | 1.81 ft | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | — | — | — |
| 15:20 | 1.81 ft | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | — | — | — |
| 14:20 | 1.81 ft | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | — | — | — |
| 13:20 | 1.81 ft | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | 1.86 ft | no | verified |
| 12:20 | 1.81 ft | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | 1.86 ft | no | verified |
| 11:20 | 1.81 ft | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | 1.86 ft | no | verified |
| 10:20 | 1.81 ft | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | 1.85 ft | no | verified |
| 09:20 | 1.81 ft | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | 1.84 ft | no | verified |
| 08:20 | 1.80 ft | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | 1.84 ft | no | verified |
| 07:20 | 1.80 ft | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | 1.83 ft | no | verified |
| 06:20 | 1.80 ft | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | 1.83 ft | no | verified |
| 05:20 | 1.80 ft | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | 1.82 ft | no | verified |