Empirical Forecasts — Hailstone (upper Buffalo) — 2026-07-02

Forecasts archived: 19
Settled (expiry passed): 11

Hailstone (upper Buffalo)

00:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Pending until 2026-07-03 08:18 UTC

23:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Pending until 2026-07-03 07:18 UTC

22:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Pending until 2026-07-03 06:18 UTC

21:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Pending until 2026-07-03 05:18 UTC

20:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Pending until 2026-07-03 04:18 UTC

19:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Pending until 2026-07-03 03:18 UTC

18:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Pending until 2026-07-03 02:18 UTC

17:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Pending until 2026-07-03 01:18 UTC

16:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

15:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

14:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

13:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

12:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

11:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

10:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

09:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

08:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

07:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

06:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)