Hourly records: 4 — claims (≥8 %): 0, no-rise-indicated: 4, not a forecast (gauge already within reach): 0
Settled (horizon passed): 0
Each hour the engine states the calibrated chance the gauge rises to the next level within its horizon. Below 8 % it says "No rise indicated"; those hours are graded on their miss rate, not as claims. A gauge sitting just under a level gets no probability (a crossing from there is not a rise the engine forecasts). Experimental.
08:18 UTC — gauge tier below_low (5.25 cfs). Rain 6 h: 10.6 mm (moist soil).
- Forecast: No rise indicated — chance of LOW within 12 h ~2 % (below the 8 % claim line)
- Pending until 2026-10-02 20:18 UTC
07:18 UTC — gauge tier below_low (5.25 cfs). Rain 6 h: 9.2 mm (damp soil).
- Forecast: No rise indicated — chance of LOW within 12 h ~2 % (below the 8 % claim line)
- Pending until 2026-10-02 19:18 UTC
06:18 UTC — gauge tier below_low (4.58 cfs). Rain 6 h: 6.5 mm (damp soil).
- Forecast: No rise indicated — chance of LOW within 12 h ~0.7 % (below the 8 % claim line)
- Pending until 2026-10-02 18:18 UTC
05:18 UTC — gauge tier below_low (4.16 cfs). Rain 6 h: 6.7 mm (damp soil).
- Forecast: No rise indicated — chance of LOW within 12 h ~0.7 % (below the 8 % claim line)
- Pending until 2026-10-02 17:18 UTC