Hailstone (Upper Buffalo) — Predictions: 2026-06-06
Predictions issued: 4
Settled (peak window passed): 4
Issued 2026-06-06 16:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
68 CFS |
40 CFS |
-28 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-06-06 16:51 |
2026-06-06 13:00 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.90" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (4 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.56" |
112 CFS |
16:04 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-06-06 15:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
78 CFS |
39 CFS |
-39 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-06-06 15:51 |
2026-06-06 11:15 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.73" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (4 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.39" |
77 CFS |
15:23 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-06-06 14:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
53 CFS |
39 CFS |
-14 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-06-06 14:51 |
2026-06-06 11:15 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.56" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (4 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.21" |
30 CFS |
14:24 |
LIGHT |
Issued 2026-06-06 13:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
52 CFS |
38 CFS |
-14 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-06-06 13:51 |
2026-06-06 10:30 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.50" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (4 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.16" |
22 CFS |
14:01 |
LIGHT |