Rise predictions issued: 0
No-rise claims (quiet / too light) issued: 24
Settled (18-h window passed): 24
Every hourly run that predicted no rise (quiet, rain too light, or a crest inside the noise floor). Settled: 24; verified 24; the gauge rose anyway on 0.
| Issued | Flow | Engine | Why | Peak in 18 h | Rose? | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:21 | 3.6 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 3.8 cfs | no | verified |
| 03:21 | 3.6 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 3.8 cfs | no | verified |
| 02:21 | 3.6 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 3.8 cfs | no | verified |
| 01:21 | 3.6 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 3.8 cfs | no | verified |
| 00:21 | 3.6 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 3.8 cfs | no | verified |
| 23:21 | 3.6 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 3.6 cfs | no | verified |
| 22:21 | 3.8 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 3.6 cfs | no | verified |
| 21:21 | 3.8 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 3.8 cfs | no | verified |
| 20:21 | 3.8 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 3.8 cfs | no | verified |
| 19:21 | 3.8 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 3.8 cfs | no | verified |
| 18:21 | 3.8 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 3.8 cfs | no | verified |
| 17:21 | 3.8 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 3.8 cfs | no | verified |
| 16:21 | 4.0 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 3.8 cfs | no | verified |
| 15:21 | 4.0 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 4.0 cfs | no | verified |
| 14:21 | 3.8 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 4.0 cfs | no | verified |
| 13:21 | 3.8 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 4.0 cfs | no | verified |
| 12:21 | 3.6 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 4.0 cfs | no | verified |
| 11:21 | 3.4 cfs | v2 | rain too light to drive a rise | 4.0 cfs | no | verified |
| 10:21 | 3.4 cfs | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | 4.0 cfs | no | verified |
| 09:21 | 3.4 cfs | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | 4.0 cfs | no | verified |
| 08:21 | 3.4 cfs | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | 4.0 cfs | no | verified |
| 07:21 | 3.4 cfs | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | 4.0 cfs | no | verified |
| 06:21 | 3.4 cfs | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | 4.0 cfs | no | verified |
| 05:21 | 3.4 cfs | v2 | quiet (no upstream rainfall) | 4.0 cfs | no | verified |