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Hailstone (Upper Buffalo) — Predictions: 2026-10-01

Rise predictions issued: 0
No-rise claims (quiet / too light) issued: 24
Settled (18-h window passed): 9

No-rise claims

Every hourly run that predicted no rise (quiet, rain too light, or a crest inside the noise floor). Settled: 9; verified 9; the gauge rose anyway on 0.

Issued Flow Engine Why Peak in 18 h Rose? Verdict
04:21 4.2 cfs v2 rain too light to drive a rise — — —
03:21 4.2 cfs v2 rain too light to drive a rise — — —
02:21 4.2 cfs v2 rain too light to drive a rise — — —
01:21 4.2 cfs v2 rain too light to drive a rise — — —
00:21 4.0 cfs v2 rain too light to drive a rise — — —
23:21 4.0 cfs v2 rain too light to drive a rise — — —
22:21 4.2 cfs v2 rain too light to drive a rise — — —
21:21 4.2 cfs v2 rain too light to drive a rise — — —
20:21 4.2 cfs v2 rain too light to drive a rise — — —
19:21 4.2 cfs v2 rain too light to drive a rise — — —
18:21 4.2 cfs v2 rain too light to drive a rise — — —
17:21 4.0 cfs v2 rain too light to drive a rise — — —
16:21 3.8 cfs v2 quiet (no upstream rainfall) — — —
15:21 3.8 cfs v2 quiet (no upstream rainfall) — — —
14:21 3.8 cfs v2 quiet (no upstream rainfall) — — —
13:21 3.8 cfs v2 quiet (no upstream rainfall) 5.2 cfs no verified
12:21 3.8 cfs v2 quiet (no upstream rainfall) 4.8 cfs no verified
11:21 3.8 cfs v2 quiet (no upstream rainfall) 4.6 cfs no verified
10:21 3.8 cfs v2 quiet (no upstream rainfall) 4.2 cfs no verified
09:21 3.8 cfs v2 quiet (no upstream rainfall) 4.2 cfs no verified
08:21 3.8 cfs v2 quiet (no upstream rainfall) 4.2 cfs no verified
07:21 3.8 cfs v2 quiet (no upstream rainfall) 4.2 cfs no verified
06:21 3.8 cfs v2 quiet (no upstream rainfall) 4.2 cfs no verified
05:21 3.8 cfs v2 quiet (no upstream rainfall) 4.2 cfs no verified
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