Empirical Forecasts — Richland Creek — 2026-08-07

Forecasts archived: 24
Settled (expiry passed): 24

Richland Creek

05:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 12.6 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

04:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 12.6 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

03:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 11.3 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

02:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 8.3 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

01:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.9 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

00:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.2 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

23:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.2 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

22:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.2 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

21:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

20:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

19:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

18:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

17:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

16:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

15:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

14:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

13:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

12:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.4 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

11:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.6 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

10:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 3.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

09:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 36.4 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

08:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 36.8 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

07:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 36.8 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

06:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 36.5 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)