Richland Creek — Predictions: 2026-08-07
Predictions issued: 6
Settled (peak window passed): 6
Issued 2026-08-08 05:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.47 ft |
0.94 ft |
-0.53 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-08-08 05:50 |
2026-08-08 01:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.02" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.49" |
0.61 ft |
05:14 |
MODERATE |
| 2 |
0.57" |
0.53 ft |
05:33 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-08-08 04:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.46 ft |
0.94 ft |
-0.52 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-08-08 05:50 |
2026-08-08 01:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.02" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (16 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.49" |
0.68 ft |
05:14 |
MODERATE |
| 2 |
0.57" |
0.58 ft |
05:33 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-08-08 03:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.47 ft |
0.93 ft |
-0.54 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-08-08 04:50 |
2026-08-08 00:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.96" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (16 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.45" |
0.62 ft |
05:05 |
MODERATE |
| 2 |
0.47" |
0.48 ft |
05:14 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-08-08 02:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.35 ft |
0.93 ft |
-0.42 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-08-08 04:50 |
2026-08-08 00:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.84" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (16 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.35" |
0.48 ft |
04:50 |
MODERATE |
| 2 |
0.31" |
0.32 ft |
04:50 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-08-07 07:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.34 ft |
0.51 ft |
-0.83 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-08-07 07:50 |
2026-08-07 02:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.50" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (16 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.42" |
2.76 ft |
06:57 |
INTENSE |
| 2 |
1.65" |
2.37 ft |
06:48 |
INTENSE |
Issued 2026-08-07 06:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.02 ft |
0.52 ft |
-2.50 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-08-07 06:50 |
2026-08-07 01:30 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.49" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (16 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.41" |
1.83 ft |
06:56 |
INTENSE |
| 2 |
1.63" |
1.56 ft |
06:46 |
INTENSE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-08-07 06:50