Hourly records: 4 — claims (≥8 %): 1, no-rise-indicated: 3, not a forecast (gauge already within reach): 0
Settled (horizon passed): 0
Each hour the engine states the calibrated chance the gauge rises to the next level within its horizon. Below 8 % it says "No rise indicated"; those hours are graded on their miss rate, not as claims. A gauge sitting just under a level gets no probability (a crossing from there is not a rise the engine forecasts). Experimental.
08:18 UTC — gauge tier below_low (-0.17 ft). Rain 24 h: 25.1 mm (damp soil).
- Forecast: ~9.3 % chance of rising to LOW within 30 h (claim)
- Pending until 2026-10-03 14:18 UTC
07:18 UTC — gauge tier below_low (-0.21 ft). Rain 24 h: 17.3 mm (damp soil).
- Forecast: No rise indicated — chance of LOW within 30 h ~5.6 % (below the 8 % claim line)
- Pending until 2026-10-03 13:18 UTC
06:18 UTC — gauge tier below_low (-0.2 ft). Rain 24 h: 12.6 mm (damp soil).
- Forecast: No rise indicated — chance of LOW within 30 h ~5.6 % (below the 8 % claim line)
- Pending until 2026-10-03 12:18 UTC
05:18 UTC — gauge tier below_low (-0.2 ft). Rain 24 h: 10.6 mm (dry soil).
- Forecast: No rise indicated — chance of LOW within 30 h ~4.6 % (below the 8 % claim line)
- Pending until 2026-10-03 11:18 UTC