USGS 07257006 · Big Piney Creek at Hwy 164 near Dover, AR
| Sub-Watershed | 1hr | 24hr | QPF 24hr |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moccasin Creek | 0.59" | 0.91" | 0.95" |
| Cow Creek-Big Piney Creek | 0.23" | 1.16" | 1.04" |
| Haw Creek-Big Piney Creek | 0.28" | 1.05" | 0.95" |
| Indian Creek | 0.30" | 0.73" | 0.95" |
| Spring Creek-Big Piney Creek | 0.32" | 1.00" | 0.95" |
| Mill Creek-Big Piney Creek | 0.45" | 0.82" | 0.95" |
| Willis Creek-Big Piney Creek | 0.30" | 1.29" | 1.04" |
| Walnut Creek | 0.20" | 1.10" | 1.04" |
| Curtis Creek-Big Piney Creek | 0.30" | 1.23" | 1.04" |
| Hurricane Creek | 0.15" | 0.87" | 1.10" |
QPE = Precipitation Estimate (observed) · QPF = Precipitation Forecast
Updated: 12:44 AM CT
No rise indicated by recent rainfall
Soil: DAMP · Confidence: CALIBRATED
Forecast applies to Below Longpool thresholds. Above Longpool needs more rise.
Calibrated chance the gauge rises from BELOW_LOW to LOW within the next 30 h, from 24 h rainfall (17.3 mm) at this gauge level (history stratum gq0); ground DAMP by 7-day rain. Experimental.
| Level | Chance | Rain before past rises 24 h total · p25 / p50 / p75 | n | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOW 1.2 ft | ~5% | 0.45" | 0.84" | 1.01" | 10 damp soil |
| MEDIUM 2 ft | ~4% | fewer than 10 past rises on record | |||
| HIGH 5 ft | ~1% | fewer than 10 past rises on record | |||
Rain columns are context, not a probability: the 24-h rain that fell before past rises to each level (quartiles of n past rises; the population is noted under n). This basin: 0.68" so far in the last 24 h. The Chance column is the calibrated forecast.