Cossatot River — Predictions: 2026-06-14
Predictions issued: 10
Settled (peak window passed): 10
Issued 2026-06-14 20:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
5.41 ft |
5.12 ft |
-0.29 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-14 20:50 |
2026-06-14 15:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.39" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (25 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
1.15" |
0.68 ft |
19:10 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.09" |
0.55 ft |
20:39 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_down: 2026-06-18 03:21
- low_floatable_down: 2026-06-17 01:02
Issued 2026-06-14 19:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
5.61 ft |
5.20 ft |
-0.41 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-14 19:50 |
2026-06-14 14:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.39" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (25 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
1.15" |
0.68 ft |
19:10 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.09" |
0.55 ft |
20:39 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_down: 2026-06-19 11:04
- low_floatable_down: 2026-06-17 22:31
- optimal_up: 2026-06-14 19:50
- above_recommended_up: 2026-06-14 19:50
Issued 2026-06-14 18:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
5.69 ft |
5.27 ft |
-0.42 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-14 19:50 |
2026-06-14 13:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.39" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (25 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
1.23" |
1.25 ft |
17:07 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
1.15" |
0.68 ft |
19:10 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.09" |
0.55 ft |
20:39 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- optimal_up: 2026-06-14 18:50
- above_recommended_up: 2026-06-14 19:50
Issued 2026-06-14 17:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
5.88 ft |
5.32 ft |
-0.56 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-14 17:50 |
2026-06-14 12:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.39" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (25 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
1.23" |
1.25 ft |
17:07 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
1.15" |
0.68 ft |
19:10 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.09" |
0.55 ft |
20:39 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- optimal_up: 2026-06-14 17:50
- above_recommended_up: 2026-06-14 17:50
Issued 2026-06-14 16:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
5.81 ft |
5.33 ft |
-0.48 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-14 16:50 |
2026-06-14 11:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.39" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (25 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
1.23" |
1.25 ft |
17:07 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
1.15" |
0.68 ft |
19:10 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.09" |
0.55 ft |
20:39 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- optimal_up: 2026-06-14 16:50
- above_recommended_up: 2026-06-14 16:50
Issued 2026-06-14 15:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
6.25 ft |
5.33 ft |
-0.92 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-14 15:50 |
2026-06-14 11:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.36" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (25 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
1.28" |
2.66 ft |
15:11 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
1.21" |
1.22 ft |
17:02 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
1.12" |
0.66 ft |
19:04 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.06" |
0.54 ft |
20:33 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- optimal_up: 2026-06-14 15:50
- above_recommended_up: 2026-06-14 15:50
Issued 2026-06-14 14:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
5.59 ft |
5.33 ft |
-0.26 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-14 14:50 |
2026-06-14 11:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.27" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (25 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
1.18" |
2.44 ft |
14:55 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
1.12" |
1.13 ft |
16:46 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
1.02" |
0.60 ft |
18:46 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
0.96" |
0.49 ft |
20:14 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- optimal_up: 2026-06-14 14:50
- above_recommended_up: 2026-06-14 14:50
Issued 2026-06-14 13:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
5.08 ft |
5.33 ft |
+0.25 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-14 14:50 |
2026-06-14 11:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.17" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (25 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
1.06" |
2.21 ft |
14:41 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
1.03" |
1.04 ft |
16:34 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
0.93" |
0.55 ft |
18:32 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
0.89" |
0.45 ft |
20:03 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-06-14 12:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
6.79 ft |
5.09 ft |
-1.70 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-14 12:50 |
2026-06-14 09:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.05" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: medium — Predicted rise exceeds observed range
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.86" |
4.31 ft |
12:30 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
0.94" |
1.96 ft |
14:29 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
0.91" |
0.93 ft |
16:21 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
0.81" |
0.48 ft |
18:17 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
0.77" |
0.39 ft |
19:47 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- low_floatable_up: 2026-06-14 12:50
- optimal_up: 2026-06-14 12:50
- above_recommended_up: 2026-06-14 12:50
Issued 2026-06-14 11:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
5.45 ft |
3.78 ft |
-1.67 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-14 11:50 |
2026-06-14 08:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.83" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (25 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.59" |
2.97 ft |
12:12 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
0.67" |
1.39 ft |
14:12 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
0.70" |
0.71 ft |
16:06 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
0.65" |
0.38 ft |
18:03 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
0.60" |
0.30 ft |
19:32 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_down: 2026-06-15 13:36
- low_floatable_up: 2026-06-14 11:50