Cossatot River — Predictions: 2026-06-19
Predictions issued: 10
Settled (peak window passed): 10
Issued 2026-06-20 03:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.16 ft |
3.03 ft |
-0.13 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-20 03:50 |
2026-06-19 22:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.07" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (25 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
0.67" |
0.33 ft |
02:05 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.74" |
0.31 ft |
03:30 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-06-20 02:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.22 ft |
3.03 ft |
-0.19 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-20 02:50 |
2026-06-19 21:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.07" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (25 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
0.67" |
0.33 ft |
02:05 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.74" |
0.31 ft |
03:30 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-06-20 01:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.21 ft |
3.03 ft |
-0.18 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-20 01:50 |
2026-06-19 20:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.07" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (25 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.75" |
0.63 ft |
00:07 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.67" |
0.33 ft |
02:05 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.74" |
0.31 ft |
03:30 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-06-20 00:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.29 ft |
3.03 ft |
-0.26 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-20 00:50 |
2026-06-19 20:00 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.07" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (25 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.75" |
0.64 ft |
00:04 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.67" |
0.33 ft |
02:05 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.74" |
0.31 ft |
03:30 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-06-19 23:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.35 ft |
3.03 ft |
-0.32 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-19 23:50 |
2026-06-19 20:00 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.07" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (25 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.75" |
0.64 ft |
00:04 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.68" |
0.33 ft |
02:02 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.75" |
0.32 ft |
03:26 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-06-19 22:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.34 ft |
3.03 ft |
-0.31 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-19 23:50 |
2026-06-19 20:00 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.07" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (25 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
1.01" |
2.10 ft |
21:45 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
0.76" |
0.65 ft |
23:58 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.69" |
0.34 ft |
01:50 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.76" |
0.32 ft |
03:20 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-06-19 22:50
Issued 2026-06-19 21:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
4.47 ft |
3.02 ft |
-1.45 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-19 21:50 |
2026-06-19 18:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.07" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (25 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
1.01" |
2.10 ft |
21:45 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
0.76" |
0.65 ft |
23:58 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.69" |
0.34 ft |
01:50 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.76" |
0.32 ft |
03:20 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-06-19 21:50
- low_floatable_up: 2026-06-19 21:50
Issued 2026-06-19 20:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
4.27 ft |
3.02 ft |
-1.25 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-19 21:50 |
2026-06-19 18:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.02" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (25 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
0.97" |
2.02 ft |
21:39 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
0.72" |
0.61 ft |
23:50 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.65" |
0.32 ft |
01:39 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.71" |
0.30 ft |
03:09 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-06-19 20:50
- low_floatable_up: 2026-06-19 21:50
Issued 2026-06-19 19:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.77 ft |
3.01 ft |
-0.76 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-19 20:50 |
2026-06-19 17:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.78" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: medium — Predicted rise exceeds observed range
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.92" |
4.59 ft |
19:02 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
0.70" |
1.46 ft |
21:03 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
0.47" |
0.39 ft |
23:05 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.43" |
0.21 ft |
00:54 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.48" |
0.20 ft |
02:25 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-06-19 19:50
- low_floatable_up: 2026-06-19 20:50
Issued 2026-06-19 18:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
6.48 ft |
2.91 ft |
-3.57 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-06-19 18:50 |
2026-06-19 15:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.64" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: medium — Predicted rise exceeds observed range
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.76" |
3.77 ft |
18:47 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
0.53" |
1.11 ft |
20:42 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
0.33" |
0.28 ft |
22:38 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.30" |
0.15 ft |
00:22 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.36" |
0.15 ft |
01:59 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-06-19 18:50
- low_floatable_up: 2026-06-19 18:50
- optimal_up: 2026-06-19 18:50
- above_recommended_up: 2026-06-19 18:50