Empirical Forecasts — Hailstone (upper Buffalo) — 2026-06-06

Forecasts archived: 5
Settled (expiry passed): 5

Hailstone (upper Buffalo)

20:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 14.4 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence low - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

19:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 15.7 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence low - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

18:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 18.5 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence low - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

17:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 15.5 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence low - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

16:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 13.8 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence low - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)