Empirical Forecasts — Hailstone (upper Buffalo) — 2026-06-07

Forecasts archived: 4
Settled (expiry passed): 4

Hailstone (upper Buffalo)

09:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 15.3 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence high - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

08:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 17.9 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence high - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

07:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 18.5 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence high - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

06:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 18.6 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence high - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)