Empirical Forecasts — Hailstone (upper Buffalo) — 2026-06-27

Forecasts archived: 6
Settled (expiry passed): 6

Hailstone (upper Buffalo)

19:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 20.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence high - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 19:30 UTC)

18:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 21.8 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence high - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 19:00 UTC)

17:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 22.1 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence high - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 19:00 UTC)

16:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 22.1 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence high - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 19:00 UTC)

15:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 22.1 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence high - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 19:00 UTC)

14:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 21.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence high - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 19:00 UTC)