Forecasts archived: 2
Settled (expiry passed): 2
11:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 58.9 mm (moist soil).
- Forecast: rise to MEDIUM, band above_p75, confidence medium
- Outcome: MISSED_HIGHER (actual max: high, crossed: 11:30 UTC)
10:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 23.7 mm (damp soil).
- Forecast: rise to MEDIUM, band p50_to_p75, confidence low
- Outcome: MISSED_HIGHER (actual max: high, crossed: 11:15 UTC)