Empirical Forecasts — Richland Creek — 2026-06-22

Forecasts archived: 7
Settled (expiry passed): 7

Richland Creek

18:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 15.6 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence high - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

17:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 31.6 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence high - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

16:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 36.1 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence high - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

15:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 35.9 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence high - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

14:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 35.8 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence high - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

13:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 32.5 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence medium - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

12:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 24.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence medium - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)