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Richland Creek — Predictions: 2026-06-24

Predictions issued: 4
Settled (peak window passed): 4

Issued 2026-06-25 00:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 1.77 ft 1.50 ft -0.27 ft
Peak time 2026-06-25 00:50 2026-06-24 20:30

Moisture: WET (1.98" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (10 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
1 0.26" 0.26 ft 00:29 LIGHT
2 0.22" 0.16 ft 00:37 LIGHT

Issued 2026-06-24 23:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 1.77 ft 1.50 ft -0.27 ft
Peak time 2026-06-25 00:50 2026-06-24 19:15

Moisture: WET (1.98" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (10 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
1 0.26" 0.26 ft 00:28 LIGHT
2 0.21" 0.15 ft 00:35 LIGHT

Issued 2026-06-24 22:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 1.73 ft 1.50 ft -0.23 ft
Peak time 2026-06-25 00:50 2026-06-24 19:15

Moisture: WET (1.97" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (10 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
1 0.25" 0.24 ft 00:23 LIGHT
2 0.21" 0.15 ft 00:34 LIGHT

Issued 2026-06-24 21:20

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak height 1.62 ft 1.50 ft -0.12 ft
Peak time 2026-06-24 23:50 2026-06-24 16:30

Moisture: WET (1.84" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (10 events)

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
1 0.12" 0.12 ft 23:50 LIGHT
2 0.09" 0.06 ft 23:56 LIGHT
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