Branson Creeks Rain Watch

Swan Creek · Roark Creek · Bull Creek group — Missouri. Rain-only: these creeks have no usable gauge, so this page shows what radar has put on each sub-watershed and Bull Creek as the proxy.

Data age: 0 min · radar frame 3:00 AM CT · gauge 3:15 AM CT

What this is

Experimental. Swan Creek and Roark Creek have no stream gauge, so there is nothing to read a level from. This page watches MRMS radar rainfall on each creek's sub-watersheds and applies first-guess rain triggers that have not been verified against real rises yet. There are no runnable bands for these creeks. Bull Creek near Walnut Shade is shown only as a proxy for how the area is responding.

Branson drainages do not send Signal or Facebook alerts — the status words here are informational only. Treat any WATCH/WARNING as "go look at the radar," not "it is running." NWS forecast →

Swan Creek

Garrison (Hwy 125) to Forsyth (Shadow Rock Park), 21 mi · Class I, II-III at high water

Never gauged. Rises fast after a good rain and drops almost as fast — catch it a day or two after heavy rain. Paddlers read Bull Creek (below) and the AA low-water bridge.

Upper Swan Creek
No Alert
0.15" in 12hr — 5% of 2.80" trigger (1.4x rain adj)
1h 0.00"6h 0.00"12h 0.15"24h 0.15"QPF 24h 0.55"3-6 hr lag
Lower Swan Creek (Garrison-Forsyth)
No Alert
0.16" in 12hr — 5% of 2.80" trigger (1.4x rain adj)
1h 0.00"6h 0.00"12h 0.16"24h 0.16"QPF 24h 0.51"2-4 hr lag
Radar rain on Swan Creek (mean of 5 sub-watersheds): 1h 0.00" · 3h 0.01" · 6h 0.01" · 12h 0.16" · 24h 0.16" · QPF 24h 0.52"

Roark Creek

MDC access through Branson to the Stockstill take-out · Class II-II+, occasional III

USGS gauge 07053710 at Branson has been out of service since August 2023 — rain is the only signal.

Roark Creek (Branson)
No Alert
0.00" in 6hr — 0% of 2.10" trigger (1.4x rain adj)
1h 0.00"6h 0.00"12h 0.11"24h 0.12"QPF 24h 0.68"0-2 hr lag
Radar rain on Roark Creek (mean of 1 sub-watershed): 1h 0.00" · 3h 0.00" · 6h 0.00" · 12h 0.11" · 24h 0.12" · QPF 24h 0.68"

Bull Creek group (Bull, Bear Creek, Woods Fork)

Bull Creek: Round Mountain low-water bridge to Walnut Shade; Bear Creek and Woods Fork are rain-day runs · Class II-II+

The gauged neighbor. Bull Creek near Walnut Shade (USGS 07053810) is the proxy the Swan crew watches; runnable bands are still open.

No rain trigger set for this group — watch the proxy gauge below.

Radar rain on Bull Creek group (Bull, Bear Creek, Woods Fork) (mean of 5 sub-watersheds): 1h 0.00" · 3h 0.00" · 6h 0.00" · 12h 0.12" · 24h 0.12" · QPF 24h 0.56"

Bull Creek near Walnut Shade, MO — proxy gauge

Discharge
2.9 cfs
➡ Steady (+0 cfs/hr)
2:55 AM CT
Runnable bands: not set yet (N/A)

Proxy gauge — Swan Creek and Roark Creek have no gauge

Bull Creek — Past 24 Hours

24h ago12hnow
Range over 24 h: 2.65–2.91 cfs

Sub-Watershed Rainfall (MRMS radar)

Sub-Watershed1hr6hr24hrQPF 24hr
Swan Creek
Headwaters Swan Creek0.00"0.00"0.14"0.55"
Cedar Creek-Swan Creek0.00"0.00"0.15"0.55"
Barbers Creek-Swan Creek0.00"0.00"0.15"0.51"
Blue Creek-Swan Creek0.00"0.01"0.17"0.51"
Swan Creek0.00"0.03"0.19"0.51"
Roark Creek
Roark Creek0.00"0.00"0.12"0.68"
Bull Creek group (Bull, Bear Creek, Woods Fork)
Woods Fork0.00"0.00"0.11"0.51"
Upper Bull Creek0.00"0.00"0.14"0.51"
Bear Creek0.00"0.00"0.11"0.68"
Middle Bull Creek0.00"0.00"0.13"0.51"
Lower Bull Creek0.00"0.00"0.12"0.68"
Radar hours in 24h window: 24/24 · Latest radar frame: 3:00 AM CT

Watershed Rainfall Map

QPE = Precipitation Estimate (observed) · QPF = Precipitation Forecast

0"
0.01–0.24"
0.25–0.49"
0.50–0.99"
1.00–1.99"
2.00"+
Gauges Watersheds Ozark Rain Map
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DISCLAIMER: This site provides creek condition estimates for informational purposes only. Gauge data, radar estimates, and forecasts may be delayed, inaccurate, or unavailable. Always exercise independent judgment. Whitewater kayaking is inherently dangerous — water conditions can change rapidly. This site and its maintainers assume no responsibility for decisions made based on information displayed here.