23 years of the Corps gauge record (2003–2025) at 15-minute resolution: how often the Saint runs, how long it holds, and every rise above the 3-foot floor.
Days per year and share of the clock at each level, 2003–2025. Months with big holes in the record are left out of their month’s average rather than counted as dry.
| Level | Days / year | % of the time |
|---|---|---|
| ≥ 3.0 ft — runnable | 158 | 39.3% |
| ≥ 4.0 ft — Class III | 57 | 11.3% |
| ≥ 6.0 ft — big water / over the bridge | 21 | 2.9% |
By month — days per year, averaged across the record. The Saint is a cool-season river: it is up most of the time from December through May and rare from July to October.
| Month | ≥3 ft d/yr | ≥3 ft % of days | ≥4 ft d/yr | ≥4 ft % of days | ≥6 ft d/yr | ≥6 ft % of days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 19.7 | 64% | 6.3 | 20% | 2.1 | 7% |
| Feb | 19.1 | 68% | 6.7 | 24% | 2.3 | 8% |
| Mar | 25.3 | 82% | 9.9 | 32% | 3.4 | 11% |
| Apr | 25.5 | 85% | 9.5 | 32% | 3.5 | 12% |
| May | 22.5 | 73% | 9.3 | 30% | 3.6 | 12% |
| Jun | 8.0 | 27% | 2.8 | 9% | 1.0 | 3% |
| Jul | 5.2 | 17% | 1.5 | 5% | 0.4 | 1% |
| Aug | 3.6 | 12% | 1.4 | 4% | 0.6 | 2% |
| Sep | 2.1 | 7% | 0.7 | 2% | 0.1 | 0% |
| Oct | 3.3 | 11% | 1.2 | 4% | 0.5 | 2% |
| Nov | 9.4 | 32% | 3.3 | 11% | 1.6 | 5% |
| Dec | 14.5 | 47% | 4.5 | 14% | 1.5 | 5% |
For every calendar day: the share of the 23 years in which the Roselle gauge reached 3.0 ft at some point within ±3 days of that date. Darker means more often runnable — hover or tap a cell for the number.
| Month | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Runnable | 77% | 80% | 90% | 96% | 84% | 50% | 40% | 28% | 22% | 22% | 49% | 62% |
Apr is the safest bet — in about 96% of years the Saint was up within three days of a given Apr date. Sep is the thinnest at roughly 22%.
322 separate rises above 3.0 ft in 23 years (about 14.7 a year). Median window above the floor: 74 hours, with a median 10 h from crossing 3 ft to the crest and 56 h back down. That average hides two very different rivers — a summer thunderstorm pop that is gone inside a day, and a winter–spring wet spell that simply never drops back.
| Window above 3 ft | Rises | Share | Per year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| under 6 h | 17 | 5.3% | 0.8 | |
| 6–12 h | 17 | 5.3% | 0.8 | |
| 12–24 h | 53 | 16.5% | 2.5 | |
| 1–2 days | 50 | 15.5% | 2.4 | |
| 2–4 days | 43 | 13.4% | 1.9 | |
| over 4 days | 142 | 44.1% | 6.5 |
Cool season (Nov–Apr): about 6.5 rises a year, median crest 5.2 ft, median window 218 h (9 days); 61% reach 4 ft and 44% reach 6 ft.
Warm season (May–Oct): about 8.2 rises a year, median crest 4.2 ft, median window 38 h; 54% reach 4 ft and 22% reach 6 ft. Warm-season rises peak fast — median 4 h from the floor to the crest against 17 h in the cool season — and fall just as fast.
Ranked by crest stage at Roselle. “D-bridge” is what the paddler gauge at Silver Mines would have read at the crest. Mill Creek is the USGS gauge a few miles below the take-out; a dash means that gauge had a hole across the crest.
| Crest date | Crest (ft) | D-bridge | Hrs ≥3 ft | Hrs ≥6 ft | Mill Creek peak (cfs) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-05 | 21.26 | 19.1 ft over the bridge | 301 | 96 | 48,900 |
| 2017-04-30 | 21.02 | 18.8 ft over the bridge | 752 | 166 | 69,300 |
| 2024-11-04 | 19.52 | 16.9 ft over the bridge | 288 | 54 | 40,600 |
| 2003-11-18 | 18.58 | 15.7 ft over the bridge | 404 | 43 | 33,500 |
| 2008-04-10 | 18.52 | 15.7 ft over the bridge | 2179 | 270 | 50,500 |
| 2011-04-25 | 18.22 | 15.3 ft over the bridge | 2645 | 348 | 48,600 |
| 2015-12-28 | 17.87 | 14.8 ft over the bridge | 895 | 111 | 43,900 |
| 2020-01-11 | 17.31 | 14.1 ft over the bridge | 2144 | 186 | 39,500 |
| 2009-10-30 | 16.73 | 13.4 ft over the bridge | 471 | 74 | 38,300 |
| 2023-03-24 | 16.21 | 12.8 ft over the bridge | 619 | 50 | 32,500 |
| 2022-02-17 | 16.15 | 12.7 ft over the bridge | 1031 | 83 | 35,500 |
| 2018-02-24 | 14.81 | 11.0 ft over the bridge | 568 | 114 | 25,000 |
| 2018-04-14 | 14.21 | 10.3 ft over the bridge | 1302 | 163 | 23,500 |
| 2021-03-12 | 14.12 | 10.1 ft over the bridge | 627 | 122 | 23,100 |
| 2016-08-15 | 13.98 | 10.0 ft over the bridge | 219 | 45 | 23,500 |
| 2015-06-19 | 13.97 | 10.0 ft over the bridge | 874 | 140 | 22,300 |
| 2023-03-03 | 13.18 | 9.0 ft over the bridge | 1343 | 88 | 21,500 |
| 2009-12-24 | 12.94 | 8.7 ft over the bridge | 720 | 39 | — |
| 2016-05-12 | 12.87 | 8.6 ft over the bridge | 785 | 114 | 19,500 |
| 2022-03-30 | 12.37 | 8.0 ft over the bridge | 1386 | 138 | 18,200 |
| 2009-05-09 | 12.23 | 7.8 ft over the bridge | 1647 | 176 | 14,700 |
| 2005-01-13 | 11.94 | 7.4 ft over the bridge | 568 | 81 | 18,600 |
| 2023-08-03 | 11.86 | 7.3 ft over the bridge | 165 | 65 | 15,900 |
| 2021-12-18 | 11.64 | 7.1 ft over the bridge | 231 | 30 | 20,500 |
| 2019-05-22 | 11.55 | 6.9 ft over the bridge | 4010 | 475 | 15,000 |
Longest runnable windows on record:
| Started | Crest (ft) | Hrs ≥3 ft | Days ≥3 ft | Hrs ≥4 ft | Mill Creek peak (cfs) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-14 | 11.55 | 4010 | 167 | 1657 | 15,000 |
| 2011-02-13 | 18.22 | 2645 | 110 | 1008 | 48,600 |
| 2008-02-05 | 18.52 | 2179 | 91 | 950 | 50,500 |
| 2020-01-10 | 17.31 | 2144 | 89 | 767 | 39,500 |
| 2009-03-24 | 12.23 | 1647 | 69 | 733 | 14,700 |
| 2014-03-07 | 7.35 | 1480 | 62 | 388 | 6,350 |
| 2003-02-14 | 9.12 | 1450 | 60 | 291 | 9,190 |
| 2022-03-18 | 12.37 | 1386 | 58 | 536 | 18,200 |
| 2023-01-18 | 13.18 | 1343 | 56 | 324 | 21,500 |
| 2015-03-03 | 10.70 | 1322 | 55 | 571 | 11,600 |
Across the 23-year 15-minute record, 2003–2025.
Days observed at or above each level, and the number of separate rises. Years marked † have holes in the Corps record, so their counts are floors, not totals.
| Year | ≥3.0 ft | ≥4.0 ft | ≥6.0 ft | Rises | Record complete |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | 209 | 65 | 23 | 18 | 100% |
| 2004 | 183 | 54 | 24 | 21 | 100% |
| 2005 | 118 | 31 | 10 | 14 | 100% |
| 2006 | 151 | 45 | 12 | 13 | 100% |
| 2007 | 137 | 45 | 15 | 7 | 100% |
| 2008 | 134 | 69 | 25 | 9 | 100% |
| 2009 | 189 | 81 | 26 | 14 | 100% |
| 2010 | 141 | 40 | 9 | 13 | 100% |
| 2011 | 165 | 62 | 25 | 13 | 100% |
| 2012 † | 127 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 86% |
| 2013 † | 111 | 44 | 18 | 7 | 78% |
| 2014 † | 150 | 40 | 8 | 13 | 94% |
| 2015 | 227 | 90 | 43 | 19 | 100% |
| 2016 | 173 | 45 | 15 | 11 | 100% |
| 2017 | 105 | 41 | 16 | 12 | 98% |
| 2018 | 159 | 75 | 28 | 18 | 100% |
| 2019 | 209 | 106 | 44 | 13 | 100% |
| 2020 | 181 | 67 | 23 | 17 | 100% |
| 2021 | 154 | 66 | 26 | 20 | 99% |
| 2022 | 161 | 64 | 20 | 15 | 100% |
| 2023 | 135 | 42 | 16 | 15 | 100% |
| 2024 | 126 | 56 | 19 | 21 | 100% |
| 2025 | 131 | 45 | 19 | 11 | 100% |
The USGS gauge at St. Francis River near Mill Creek (07035800) sits a few miles below the Silver Mines take-out and drains 505 square miles — a bit over twice the 234 square miles above Roselle. It reports discharge in cfs every 15 minutes and has a complete, unbroken record, which makes it the backstop whenever the Corps feed at Roselle goes quiet.
Across 264 storm rises in the shared record, a crest at Roselle turned up at Mill Creek about 3 hours later — the two gauges move together almost in step, so Mill Creek can tell you the Saint is coming up when Roselle is not reporting, but it cannot replace the Roselle number you actually run on.
Measured over the shared record, Roselle stage lines up with Mill Creek flow roughly like this: 3.0 ft ≈ 269 cfs · 4.0 ft ≈ 1,010 cfs · 5.0 ft ≈ 2,188 cfs · 6.0 ft ≈ 3,650 cfs · 8.0 ft ≈ 7,116 cfs. The Corps’ own rating puts Roselle at about 145 cfs at 3 ft, 490 cfs at 4 ft and 1,700 cfs at 6 ft. Mill Creek always carries more water than the whitewater reach, so its cfs is a companion number — never the level you put on for. The shut-ins are read at Roselle and on the D bridge.
| Roselle (ft) | D-bridge | Mill Creek median (cfs) | typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | below the floor | 102 | 70–141 |
| 3.0 | 0 in | 269 | 217–330 |
| 3.5 | 8 in | 570 | 488–676 |
| 4.0 | 15 in | 1,010 | 884–1,172 |
| 4.5 | 22 in | 1,588 | 1,385–1,800 |
| 5.0 | 30 in | 2,188 | 1,909–2,418 |
| 6.0 | 45 in — bridge deck | 3,650 | 3,255–4,005 |
| 7.0 | 1.2 ft over the bridge | 5,385 | 4,824–5,840 |
| 8.0 | 2.5 ft over the bridge | 7,116 | 5,368–7,719 |
| 10.0 | 5.0 ft over the bridge | 10,838 | 9,207–11,912 |
| 12.0 | 7.5 ft over the bridge | 17,450 | 14,325–18,606 |
Built from the USACE CWMS record for Roselle (office MVS, Roselle-St Francis.Stage.Inst.15Minutes) and USGS instantaneous data at Mill Creek 07035800. Record 2003–2025; generated 2026-09-15. ← back to the St. Francis dashboard